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Strong E-commerce momentum in India

A report by the specialized platform Unicommerce reveals that e-commerce in India recorded an increase in order volume of 31% during the quarter ending in September, while the gross value of purchased merchandise increased only 24% due to the decrease in the average value of orders.

The expansion of the coronavirus pandemic and the adoption of strict confinement measures since March largely explain how online commerce came to represent 4.5% of all sales in the country during the first half of the year, notably above the 3% achieved by this channel in 2019.

“The pandemic has changed the way people live and shop, which has led to a drastic change in consumer behavior,” said the company's CEO, Kapil Makhija, who also stressed that this change will also give a significant boost to the sector in the long term.

Therefore, as highlighted by the local media Daijiworld,it is not surprising that it was the items related to personal care, health and the pharmaceutical industry that experienced the greatest growth in the third quarter, although electronic products and fashion continued to monopolize the largest share in the volume of orders.

The strong increase in e-commerce was driven by consumers residing in Tier 2 and 3 cities, due to the increasing focus on regional markets and the increase in smartphone adoption in smaller cities and rural surroundings. In fact, cities of Tier 3 and later experienced an increase in purchases of more than 90%.

The results also showed that the brands' websites reported faster growth, of 78%, than that of the rest of the online stores during the period analyzed. “Due to the increased interest of companies in investing in online channels and adopting technological solutions to improve business operations, we firmly believe that this growth will continue in the coming months,” said the CEO of Unicommerce.

Another relevant news for the e-commerce ecosystem is the fact that a significant reduction in returns was observed, which would indicate a greater maturity of this channel.

In this sense, and as reported by the EFE Agency,from the data offered by the Competition Commission of India, it is expected that the revenues of the e-commerce sector will reach 120,000 million dollars during this year.

It is likely that the limitations on mobility and the increase in infections in the country will continue to push up an increasingly competitive market and that forecasts will be reached much earlier, since many people will continue to be reluctant to physically visit the stores.

india

The Indian retail market is projected to reach $1.75 tn by 2026

India: the top retail destination

The retail market in India has undergone a great transformation and has witnessed tremendous growth over the past 10 years. The overall retail market is set to cross the $1.75 tn mark by 2026 from $795 billion in 2017. India's e-commerce market will also grow at a 30% COMPOUND annual rate so that the gross value of merchandise is worth $200 billion by 2026.

India is among the best countries to invest in commercial space. Factors that make India so attractive include the world's second-largest population, a middle class of 600 million people, increasing urbanization, rising household incomes, connected rural consumers, and rising consumer spending.

  • India ranked second in the Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) in 2019.
  • Retail is India's largest industry, currently accounting for more than 10% of the country's GDP and 8% of total employment.

Recent policy changes allow for 100% FDI under the automatic route for single-brand retail.

The retail industry in India has experienced healthy growth in recent years, reaching a total market size of $795 billion in 2017.

India's retail market is estimated to reach $1.75 tn by 2026, from $0.79 tn in 2018, growing at a CAGR of 9-11%, driven by sociodemographic and economic factors such as urbanization, income growth and the rise of nuclear families. On the other hand, the Indian e-commerce industry is expected to cross the $200 billion mark by 2026.

The e-commerce market in India will also grow at a 30% COMPOUND annual rate for the gross value of merchandise to reach $200 billion by 2026, and have a market penetration of 12% compared to 2% today.

India is largely a disorganized retail market, contributing to 88% of the total retail sector in India. The organized retail market is currently valued at $60 billion, while the un organized market has the rest. Organized retail market share is projected to increase to 22-25% by 2021, thereby reducing the share of the un organized retail market to 77%. The organized retail market, therefore, has the potential to reach approximately $140-160 billion.

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